The survey, which shows Trzaskowski winning 50.3% to right-wing contender Karol Nawrocki’s 49.7%, is within the two percentage point margin of error.
holy fuck. Talk about razor thin margins…
Edit: Here’s the Guardian live thread if anyone wants to follow along.
How the hell does this keep happening around the world? Every election that’s been happening lately seems to be a close call until the very end.
And every time democracy is on the line. Like people are fed up with it, back to good old Fascism. Because its Democracy thats treating us like shit, not Capitalism.
Maybe a lot of them are. But the Canada, Australia, UK elections this past year surely weren’t.
Yeah fair point
The right has figured out how to cheat without people noticing. This smells like a Russian Tail. They stole our election. Double check yours.
https://sdvoice.info/trump-lost-vote-suppression-won-here-are-the-numbers/
https://electiontruthalliance.org/eta
First and last links are the data. The middle links are for us stupid people that need to be told how to read the data in the last link.
even better is that if you count the undecided as a party, the division is threefold, like with brexit (or hard brexit, soft brexit, bremain). Looks like people just toss coins around when they vote in a sea of meaningless dumb/predatory campaigns with contradictory messages and daily polling where they aim for that magical 50%…maybe polarization of means of media production…
Update:
(Nawrocki is the far right dude).
Holy shit, this couldn’t be any closer. Gonna be a nailbiting cinema for Poles. Especially since the centrist declared victory prematurely…
Gonna be a nailbiting cinema for Poles.
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Nawrocki won. I voted against him, but if Poles wanted a thug as president, then that’s what they’ll get. This is what democracy looks like, and it should be respected.
There was only a 1 in 2137 chance of this win, but it happened.
Fucking hell.
Is it just me or do the Trzaskowski-majority areas sort of draw the borders of Prussia?
Is it just me or do the Trzaskowski-majority areas sort of draw the borders of Prussia?
This has been the case in Polish elections for probably decades. A very similar case has been seen in Germany and its cold war borders.
I wish they ran a ML algorithm on the past election to see village level bellweathers and trends.
The EPFL’s predikon does it exceptionally well for swiss referendum elections. To the point that they’ll be able to call razor thin races with like just 10% of votes really accurately.
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