I’ve been trying to raise awareness about exit polls being off for years, as well as many states flunking statistical tests with precincts. All the major news in the USA stopped using exit polls to predict many races.
It’s not rocket science, and the numbers can be run by most people with a high school math level and a small level of programming. The raw data is readily available from both government and organizations.
But, this has no interest for any party activists, across the spectrum. Over a decade of trying did convinced me Americans who were politically active really do not want to know.
i don’t think it’s that they don’t want to know, i think it’s that they’re inundated with bullshit, and during covid there was a never ending stream of fake conspiracy evidence with charts and math and shit…
and then never ending fake evidence that the previous election was stolen (although they used that to prepare for actually stealing it this time… like getting the source code of voting machines for their “audits”)
so when someone like us shows up and says, “no it’s a real conspiracy! i have proof!” people’s eyes glaze over… and generally people are afraid of math.
since you can do math, i encourage you to check out election truth alliance, and on reddit r/somethingiswrong2024….
there’s a fair amount of junk on there, but when people analyze the voting data, there are statistical impossibilities.
trump voters are only part of it, the election was hacked.
stuff like, drastically different voting behavior during certain parts of the day, different voting patterns in people born on odd versus even years…
most people go blank when talking about math and statistics…
I’ve been trying to raise awareness about exit polls being off for years, as well as many states flunking statistical tests with precincts. All the major news in the USA stopped using exit polls to predict many races.
It’s not rocket science, and the numbers can be run by most people with a high school math level and a small level of programming. The raw data is readily available from both government and organizations.
But, this has no interest for any party activists, across the spectrum. Over a decade of trying did convinced me Americans who were politically active really do not want to know.
i don’t think it’s that they don’t want to know, i think it’s that they’re inundated with bullshit, and during covid there was a never ending stream of fake conspiracy evidence with charts and math and shit…
and then never ending fake evidence that the previous election was stolen (although they used that to prepare for actually stealing it this time… like getting the source code of voting machines for their “audits”)
so when someone like us shows up and says, “no it’s a real conspiracy! i have proof!” people’s eyes glaze over… and generally people are afraid of math.