They are behaving as if someone promised them to outlaw FOSS operating systems.

Not of the third point.

Also a question of leadership, how relevant was Boris Kagarlitsky, actually?

So relevant that I’ve heard about him a few times, but never paid attention.

I live in Russia. First, that won’t happen soon, it’s a bad situation with apathy, fragmentation and decay. Second, that myriad of ethnic groups is by geographic distribution mostly unable to secede as states with clearly defined borders. Third, where they can (say, North Caucasus), they depend on central financing to not be terribly poor (and they are still very poor).